Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota State Bison | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khy Kabellis * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| A.J. Jacobson * | 33 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Paul Miller * | 31 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Carlin Dupree * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Miller * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Dexter Werner | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Ward | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Deng Geu | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Eliason | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Samuelson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Konchar * | 37 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Mo Evans * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Kason Harrell * | 33 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Brent Calhoun * | 25 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Xzavier Taylor | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jax Levitch | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeAngelo Stewart | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter