Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.8% | 94.2% | +19.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +14 (77-63). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt O'Leary * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Darell Combs * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Ron Patterson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Evan Hall * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Brennan | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D.J. McCall | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T.J. Henderson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Giovanni Fraser | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Clayton * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 22 | - |
| MiKyle McIntosh * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Phil Fayne * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Deontae Hawkins * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Tony Wills | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Keyshawn Evans | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Madison Williams | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andre Washington | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Javaka Thompson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Hein | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter