Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +1 (101-100). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Jones * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Jonathan Stark * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 44 | - |
| Terrell Miller * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 32 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Dupree | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Gilbert Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnye Beamon * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | - |
| Miguel Dicent * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| DeJuan Marrero * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 34 | - |
| Xavier Moon * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Treshaad Williams * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Lamontray Harris | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Ty'Quan Bitting | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Walker | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter