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2016-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 โœ“ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“

Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +5 (97-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Savage * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 24 27 -
Ja'Corey Robinson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 1 5 26 31 -
K. Jones * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 2 15 23 -
C. Porter-Bunton * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 13 -
J. Murry * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 8 8 -
Z. Glotta 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 6 11 -
A. Diop 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
D. Clayton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Ivory 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Que Johnson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 25 29 -
Pancake Thomas * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 18 24 -
Justin Johnson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 17 24 -
Junior Lomomba * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 0 0 4 15 -
Ben Lawson * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 14 20 -
Anton Waters 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
Jabari McGhee 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 11 -
Marty Leahy 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
Damari Parris 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Willie Carmichael 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 5 -

* = starter