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2016-11-14

Model Predictions

Model UNC Wilmington Seahawks Eastern Kentucky Colonels Spread Result
Elo 90.8% 9.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 87.6% 12.4% - โœ“
Margin 92.3% 7.7% -13.7 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 71.0% 29.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.2% 6.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.2% 6.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 75.9% 24.1% - โœ“

Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels -9 (69-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Flemmings * 44 6-13 1-4 5-5 10 1 1 0 4 18 13 -
C.J. Bryce * 34 10-17 1-4 0-3 8 1 2 0 1 21 14 -
Devontae Cacok * 33 7-11 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 1 1 14 18 -
Denzel Ingram * 28 4-13 0-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 8 2 -
Ambrose Mosley * 25 2-8 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
JaQuel Richmond 33 4-11 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 8 3 -
Marcus Bryan 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Jaylen Fornes 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Chuck Ogbodo 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 -

Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Mayo * 42 7-17 0-3 6-6 7 2 0 1 3 20 10 -
I. McGlone * 41 4-4 3-3 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 13 12 -
A. Gist * 37 4-16 2-5 5-7 1 2 1 0 5 15 -2 -
J. Babb-Harrison * 36 1-7 0-3 4-4 3 3 0 0 2 6 3 -
Z. Charles * 34 2-6 0-0 2-2 14 0 0 0 0 6 14 -
D. Avare 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Adams 9 2-2 0-0 3-7 3 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
P. Chitty 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter