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2017-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets Eastern Michigan Eagles Spread Result
Elo 53.3% 46.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 โœ— (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 55.8% 44.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—

Actual: Eastern Michigan Eagles -4 (56-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Williams * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 14 20 -
J. Lauf * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 2 0 2 17 27 -
S. Taylor Jr. * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 8 1 0 3 11 32 -
J. Sanford * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 6 9 -
L. Knapke * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 3 2 4 10 -
N. Navigato 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 8 11 -
T. Adway 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
J. Roberts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Eastern Michigan Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Bond * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 1 3 11 20 -
James Thompson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 0 1 0 3 10 22 -
Ty Toney * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 11 13 -
Ray Lee * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 14 21 -
Nick Madray * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
Baylee Steele 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 6 -
Willie Mangum 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 8 11 -
Jordan Nobles 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter