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2017-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Central Michigan Chippewas Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% - โœ“
Margin 57.9% 42.1% -1.7 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.5% 34.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“

Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -9 (100-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayler Persons * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 4 32 37 -
Ryan Weber * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 12 15 -
Trey Moses * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 3 2 14 30 -
Sean Sellers * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 11 16 -
Franko House * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 0 2 11 23 -
Francis Kiapway 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 18 23 -
Tahjai Teague 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 11 17 -
Kyle Mallers 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 0 3 -

Central Michigan Chippewas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Braylon Rayson * 45 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 34 44 -
Marcus Keene * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 40 43 -
Josh Kozinski * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 8 -
Cecil Williams * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 2 0 0 15 28 -
Luke Meyer * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 2 1 4 12 -
David DiLeo 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 3 8 -
DaRohn Scott 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 2 12 -
Blake Hibbitts 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kevin McKay 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matty Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Janeau Joubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter