Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Illinois Huskies | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +20 (65-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaric Armstead * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 26 | - |
| Marin Maric * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Jaylen Key * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Justin Thomas * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dontel Highsmith * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eugene German | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Levi Bradley | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Austin Pauga | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Laytwan Porter | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Noah McCarty | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jon Siu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Massinburg * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Dontay Caruthers * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Blake Hamilton * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Willie Conner * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| David Kadiri * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Nick Perkins | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 24 | - |
| Davonta Jordan | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Ikenna Smart | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Raheem Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nikola Rakicevic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter