Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +16 (73-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Bond * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Ty Toney * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Willie Mangum * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| James Thompson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Baylee Steele * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Nobles | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Ray Lee | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Blake Brown | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nick Madray | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lamar Wofford-Humphrey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lauf * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 25 | - |
| J. Sanford * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| J. Williams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 18 | - |
| L. Knapke * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| S. Taylor Jr. * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | - |
| N. Navigato | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| J. Roberts | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Adway | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Schaffer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Antunez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter