Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +1 (81-80). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lauf * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Jaelan Sanford * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Steve Taylor * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 39 | - |
| Luke Knapke * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Justin Roberts * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nate Navigato | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Taylor Adway | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Lucas Antunez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayler Persons * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 36 | - |
| Trey Moses * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Franko House * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Francis Kiapway * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Weber * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Sean Sellers | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jeremie Tyler | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Mallers | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tahjai Teague | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
* = starter