Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +15 (98-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braylon Rayson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 31 | - |
| Marcus Keene * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 35 | - |
| Josh Kozinski * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Cecil Williams * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Luke Meyer * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| David DiLeo | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| DaRohn Scott | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Blake Hibbitts | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kevin McKay | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Cole Israelson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matty Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Janeau Joubert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Moses * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 34 | - |
| Ryan Weber * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Francis Kiapway * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Tayler Persons * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Franko House * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Jeremie Tyler | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Tahjai Teague | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Sean Sellers | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Mallers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kaleb Mallory | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter