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Bowling Green Falcons 73
@
Toledo Rockets 85
2017-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 16.0% 84.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 ✓ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.9% 65.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 15.4% 84.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.1% 70.9% - ✓

Actual: Toledo Rockets +12 (85-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wesley Alcegaire * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 4 14 20 -
Zack Denny * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 1 2 12 21 -
Ismail Ali * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 8 1 2 3 9 22 -
Demajeo Wiggins * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 0 0 17 29 -
Antwon Lillard * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
Dylan Frye 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 9 9 -
Rasheed Worrell 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 4 10 -
Rodrick Caldwell 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
Matt Fox 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Williams * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 20 22 -
N. Navigato * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 7 0 1 2 22 33 -
J. Lauf * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 4 9 -
J. Sanford * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 3 1 3 13 20 -
S. Taylor Jr. * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 5 0 0 2 10 25 -
L. Knapke 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 12 21 -
J. Roberts 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
T. Adway 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter