Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos +16 (90-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lauf * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Sanford * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| N. Navigato * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| S. Taylor Jr. * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| L. Knapke * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Williams | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| J. Roberts | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Adway | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Antunez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Wilder * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 35 | - |
| Tucker Haymond * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Johnson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Reggie Jones * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Drake LaMont * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Bryce Moore | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Seth Dugan | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Josh Davis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jarrin Randall | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Adida Ikongshul | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jared Printy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maxwell Omili | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter