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2017-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Northern Illinois Huskies Kent State Golden Flashes Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% - โœ—
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 โœ— (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 28.7% 71.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% - โœ—

Actual: Kent State Golden Flashes -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marin Maric * 41 7-15 0-1 5-8 11 0 1 0 1 19 15 -
Aaric Armstead * 34 1-11 0-3 1-3 12 3 2 1 1 3 9 -
Dontel Highsmith * 33 2-8 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 5 -3 -
Jaylen Key * 22 3-3 1-1 4-5 3 1 0 0 2 11 10 -
Justin Thomas * 17 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 3 0 1 5 6 -
Laytwan Porter 27 5-9 0-2 2-4 1 1 2 0 3 12 4 -
Levi Bradley 23 1-5 0-0 5-6 5 1 1 0 1 7 8 -
Eugene German 19 5-12 1-2 1-1 1 1 1 0 4 12 -1 -
Austin Pauga 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Noah McCarty 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Kent State Golden Flashes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deon Edwin * 42 7-12 2-4 2-3 5 4 1 1 1 18 16 -
Jaylin Walker * 41 6-15 6-10 4-4 5 2 2 0 5 22 11 -
Desmond Ridenour * 34 4-12 0-4 0-0 7 4 1 0 1 8 7 -
Adonis De La Rosa * 23 4-8 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 3 5 9 5 -
Kevin Zabo * 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -1 -
Jimmy Hall 31 1-6 0-0 5-5 5 1 1 0 4 7 4 -
Jalen Avery 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 0 -
Alonzo Walker 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
Danny Pippen 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Leo Edwards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Mitch Peterson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter