Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sanford * | 46 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| S. Taylor Jr. * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 29 | - |
| L. Knapke * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 29 | - |
| J. Lauf * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| J. Williams * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Dzierzawski | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| N. Navigato | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Z. Garber | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Antunez | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Adway | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylon Brown * | 49 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 53 | - |
| Duane Gibson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Willie Wiley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Ryan Taylor * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| David Howard * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christian Benzon | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Dalen Traore | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Solomon Hainna | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter