Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Northern Illinois Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | +9.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +9.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies -4 (64-68). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Shead * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | +11.8 |
| Ridge Shipley * | 24 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Luke Meikle * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | -4.8 |
| Kyle Toth * | 20 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Josh Martin * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -9.8 |
| Victor Joseph | 29 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +13.6 |
| Zach Gordon | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +10.3 |
| Josh Mishler | 22 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Donovan Fields | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -6.0 |
| Aleks Abrams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.1 |
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laytwan Porter * | 35 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -7.5 |
| Aaric Armstead * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -5.3 |
| Dontel Highsmith * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -11.7 |
| Marin Maric * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Jaylen Key * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -10.3 |
| Austin Pauga | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Noah McCarty | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -8.1 |
| Levi Bradley | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | +16.3 |
| Eugene German | 8 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -6.3 |
| Justin Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.4 |
* = starter