Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | -4.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +1 (78-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Jones | 34 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| J. Stark | 33 | 10-20 | 6-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 13 | - |
| D. Croaker | 32 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Miller Jr. | 23 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Sanchious | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Thomas Jr. | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Grace | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Dupree | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Taylor | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Griffin | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Alcegaire | 30 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| I. Ali | 30 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Z. Denny | 28 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| A. Lillard | 26 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Wiggins | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| D. Frye | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Worrell | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Fox | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Caldwell | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter