Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | +13.6 | ✓ (19.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.8 | ✓ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +33 (86-53). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Conner * | 33 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Davonta Jordan * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Nick Perkins * | 23 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 4-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Ikenna Smart * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Blake Hamilton * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Nikola Rakicevic | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dontay Caruthers | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quate McKinzie | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| James Jones | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| David Kadiri | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Raheem Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christian Pino | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmond Sumner * | 30 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| J.P. Macura * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Trevon Bluiett * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm Bernard * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Sean O'Mara * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Quentin Goodin | 24 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Tyrique Jones | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| RaShid Gaston | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tim Stainbrook | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Conor Peterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Leighton Schrand | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cullen Barr | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Bergen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter