Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -3 (65-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetre Rivers * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Stephon Jelks * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Jordan Strawberry * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Desmond Ringer * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Fishler | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Rashad Lewis | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Cory Kilby | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J.J. N'Ganga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaylen Stowe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ross Cummings | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Denzel-Dyson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Wyatt Walker * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 32 | - |
| Alex Thompson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Christen Cunningham * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Triston Chambers * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Josh Sharkey | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Alex Peters | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter