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2016-12-28

Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 84.5% 15.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.8% 21.2% - โœ“
Margin 84.9% 15.1% -9.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.2% 11.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -8 (87-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marvin Smith * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 4 17 23 -
Diante Baldwin * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 8 3 0 6 25 35 -
Jordy Kuiper * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 0 2 6 16 -
Francis Alonso * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 11 11 -
R.J. White * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 3 6 10 -
Malik Massey 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 2 1 7 -
Demetrius Troy 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 0 0 1 18 27 -
James Dickey 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 6 10 14 -
Garrett Collins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 0 3 -
Justin Jordan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kyrin Galloway 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Warren Sledge * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 12 16 -
Zane Najdawi * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 3 0 1 13 24 -
Frankie Johnson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 3 1 1 6 13 -
Quayson Williams * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 2 11 18 -
Brian White * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Preston Parks 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 32 34 -
Kaelon Harris 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 3 12 18 -
Leandro Allende 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 1 6 -
Matt Frierson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Tom Koopman 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Ezekiel Balogun 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter