Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | -4.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -21 (57-78). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Aldridge * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 28 | - |
| J. Gudmundsson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Rusty Reigel * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Jack Gibbs * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 41 | - |
| Will Magarity * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Nathan Ekwu | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Watkins | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dusan Kovacevic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Oskar Michelsen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kamau Faines | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Strawberry * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Demetre Rivers * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Stephon Jelks * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Desmond Ringer * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J.J. N'Ganga | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Ryan Johnson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Rashad Lewis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Darius Roy | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ross Cummings | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Fishler | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Cory Kilby | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jaylen Stowe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter