Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (39.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +41 (103-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedric Lawson | 31 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jeremiah Martin | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Markel Crawford | 25 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K.J. Lawson | 24 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Keon Clergeot | 19 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jimario Rivers | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Craig Randall | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jake McDowell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chad Rykhoek | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Christian Kessee | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alex Moffatt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Bins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kaleb Castro | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Brown | 35 | 9-13 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Shake Milton | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Ben Moore | 31 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jarrey Foster | 30 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 6-10 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 28 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Jonathan Wilfong | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ben Emelogu | 11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dashawn McDowell | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Leo Kontopoulos | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Pyle | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter