Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.0% | 24.0% | -6.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +4 (53-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Evans * | 40 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Troy Caupain * | 39 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Washington * | 30 | 3-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Johnson * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gary Clark * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jarron Cumberland | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Justin Jenifer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nysier Brooks | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tre Scott | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Laing | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Williams * | 40 | 1-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -8 | - |
| B.J. Taylor * | 40 | 10-19 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Nick Banyard * | 39 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Chad Brown | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter