Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +9 (60-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Washington * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jacob Evans * | 38 | 5-12 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Gary Clark * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Johnson * | 33 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Troy Caupain * | 33 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Justin Jenifer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jarron Cumberland | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tre Scott | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quadri Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nysier Brooks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semi Ojeleye * | 39 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 38 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Sterling Brown * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jarrey Foster * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ben Emelogu | 27 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
* = starter