Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +18 (82-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Taylor * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 28 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Matt Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Chad Brown | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Nick Banyard | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Djordjije Mumin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nathan Laing | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Catotti | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damyean Dotson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 38 | - |
| Robert Gray * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Bertrand Nkali * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Danrad Knowles * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Armoni Brooks * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Galen Robinson | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Wes VanBeck | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Devin Davis | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Meyer | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mateen Hirbod | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Morris Dunnigan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Xavier Dupree | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter