Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Taylor * | 40 | 6-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Matt Williams * | 33 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Nick Banyard | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chad Brown | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markel Crawford * | 40 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jeremiah Martin * | 38 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| K.J. Lawson * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Jimario Rivers * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dedric Lawson * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Craig Randall | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Christian Kessee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keon Clergeot | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter