Model Predictions
| Model | South Florida Bulls | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +19.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +22 (86-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Holston * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Ruben Guerrero * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Malik Fitts * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Luis Santos * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Bo Zeigler | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tulio Da Silva | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Michael Bibby | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jake Bodway | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Henry Beard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Williams * | 32 | 12-23 | 11-21 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 17 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| B.J. Taylor * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Nick Banyard | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chad Brown | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Nathan Laing | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Djordjije Mumin | 8 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Anthony Catotti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brock Stephenson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter