Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | +17.8 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.4 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +2 (93-91). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Elmore * | 41 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Stevie Browning * | 41 | 11-22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Ajdin Penava * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Austin Loop * | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Taylor * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C.J. Burks | 29 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Aleksa Nikolic | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Milan Mijovic | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Christian Thieneman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Evans * | 45 | 9-15 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Gary Clark * | 38 | 12-15 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Kevin Johnson * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Troy Caupain * | 35 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Washington * | 14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Tre Scott | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Justin Jenifer | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nysier Brooks | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jarron Cumberland | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter