Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (25.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +37 (93-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquise Moore | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| O. Livingston II | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Justin Kier | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Troy Temara | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Ian Boyd | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jaire Grayer | 19 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Karmari Newman | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| DeAndre Abram | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jalen Jenkins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Danny Dixon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Relvao | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Davis | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Robert Gray | 26 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Galen Robinson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Damyean Dotson | 24 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Danrad Knowles | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Wes VanBeck | 18 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Meyer | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Morris Dunnigan | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Armoni Brooks | 10 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Xavier Dupree | 9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Bertrand Nkali | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mateen Hirbod | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter