🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Colorado Bears 87
@
Idaho State Bengals 81
2017-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 65.7% 34.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 62.5% 37.5% - ✓
Margin 63.6% 36.4% -3.1 ✓ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 72.2% 27.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 72.2% 27.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 55.7% 44.3% - ✓

Actual: Idaho State Bengals -6 (81-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DJ Miles * 38 5-17 2-9 4-6 6 2 0 1 2 16 6 -
Jonah Radebaugh * 38 8-12 6-8 1-3 6 6 2 1 1 23 25 -
Chaz Glotta * 34 7-15 5-11 3-5 5 2 3 1 3 22 15 -
Jordan Davis * 24 2-6 0-0 1-3 2 6 1 1 2 5 7 -
Kai Edwards * 17 3-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
Jon'te Dotson 27 3-4 1-1 5-5 2 0 1 0 0 12 11 -
Tyler Loose 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 1 -
Roberto Vercellino 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Telfair * 38 10-22 1-2 7-9 6 3 0 1 2 28 14 -
R. Jones III * 34 8-10 6-7 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 22 14 -
N. Topalovic * 32 2-6 0-0 4-5 12 1 0 0 3 8 12 -
B. Boyd * 31 4-10 1-4 6-8 0 1 3 0 2 15 7 -
G. Luzcando * 29 2-5 0-2 2-5 5 1 2 0 1 6 8 -
B. Mocsan 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
E. Nakken 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Lennox 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Liggins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter