Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +37 (89-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Radebaugh * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 27 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 10-13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 8 | - |
| Roberto Vercellino * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chaz Glotta * | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Ibrahim Sylla * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jon'te Dotson | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mike Ranson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Carey | 13 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Kai Edwards | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| DJ Miles | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Tyler Loose | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Woodson * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kelan Martin * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Tyler Lewis * | 24 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Chrabascz * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Wideman * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sean McDermott | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kamar Baldwin | 21 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Joey Brunk | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Henry Baddley | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Nate Fowler | 11 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Steven Bennett | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trey Pettus | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter