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2017-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 39.0% 61.0% -
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% -
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 62.6% 37.4% -
Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.7% 29.3% -
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +6 (84-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Motley * 30 4-10 0-0 3-6 5 4 0 0 4 11 6 -
I. Wainright * 29 1-4 1-3 0-1 6 5 1 0 0 3 11 -
J. Lual-Acuil Jr. * 29 5-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 0 11 11 -
M. Lecomte * 27 5-10 3-6 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 16 9 -
K. McClure * 23 2-9 1-7 0-1 3 2 1 0 0 5 2 -
J. Lindsey 27 2-6 1-4 0-1 1 2 0 0 0 5 2 -
T. Maston 21 7-11 0-3 8-8 5 0 0 1 2 22 15 -
N. Omot 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
W. Mitchell 4 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Evans * 37 5-10 2-3 11-14 3 4 0 0 2 23 18 -
Z. Smith * 36 4-8 3-4 0-2 1 0 1 1 2 11 4 -
N. Stevenson * 34 7-15 0-2 7-11 6 5 1 0 0 21 18 -
J. Gray * 32 4-6 0-1 5-6 10 3 0 2 1 13 21 -
A. Livingston * 15 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Ross 23 2-3 1-2 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
M. Temple 11 0-0 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Thomas 7 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Brandsma 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Millinghaus 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter