Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | +14.2 | ✓ (22.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +37 (87-50). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Frohnen * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Giovanni De Nicolao * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Beverly * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Nick Allen * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Austin Karrer * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gino Littles | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| George Willborn III | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Mitar Stanojevic | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Lucas O'Brien | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Nick Billingsley | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bola Alade | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| James Ringholt | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kyle Massie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Thomas * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Keenan Evans * | 27 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Niem Stevenson * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Livingston * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Justin Gray * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Matthew Temple | 23 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Shadell Millinghaus | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Giovanni McLean | 16 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Brandsma | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter