Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +15 (82-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Person * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jordon Varnado * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| DeVon Walker * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Baker * | 31 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Davis Jr. * | 21 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jeremy Hollimon | 20 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Alex Hicks | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Peace | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Miller | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Ariri | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Hopkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Bilbao * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Erick Neal * | 31 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Drew Charles * | 21 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Faith Pope * | 18 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Hervey | 21 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kaelon Wilson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nathan Hawkins | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Julian Harris | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DJ Bryant | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Scott Muirhead | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter