Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.4% | 82.6% | +8.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson Jr. * | 38 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Hill * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Billings * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| O. Black * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Burns * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Jackson | 26 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Osse | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Shoshi | 16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Carter * | 37 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| R. Lindsey * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Simmons * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C.J. Foster * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Simms | 29 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| C. Kern | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Bruce | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
* = starter