Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| T. Mitchell * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Ajayi * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - |
| D. MuepoKelly * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Lee * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| H. McGee | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Calhoun | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| N. Stover | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Morris | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| G. Boyanov | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte Thomas * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 23 | - |
| Devin Carter * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Rashad Lindsey * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tamas Bruce * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| C.J. Foster * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Deven Simms | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 32 | - |
| Jahmiah Simmons | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Connor Kern | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Salif Boudie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter