Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Lindsey * | 36 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Carter * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Foster * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5 | - |
| T. Bruce * | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Kern | 30 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Simmons | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D. Simms | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Boudie | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Shabazz * | 35 | 7-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| E. Logan * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| K. Robinson * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| G. Kinney * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P. Good | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Johnson | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| C. Hinton | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Babic | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Holley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter