Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.3% | 23.7% | -6.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kavin Gilder-Tilbury * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Ojai Black * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Bobby Conley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Nijal Pearson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Maljhum McCrea * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Immanuel King | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Tyler Blount | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Nedeljko Prijovic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marlin Davis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Nathan Josephs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Deris Duncan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Dixon * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Lew Stallworth * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Antonio Green * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Gage Loy * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Dan Kimasa * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Lesley Varner | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Michael Hoffman | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Moe McDonald | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Xavier McDaniel | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Adonis Rwabigwi | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mike Nwabuzor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter