Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +8 (97-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Kempton * | 35 | 13-18 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Kahron Ross * | 32 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Leufroy * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Austin Price * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Matt Holba * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Cohen | 26 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Alston | 20 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Pat Andree | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devon Carter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashad Lindsey * | 35 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Devin Carter * | 31 | 8-14 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Donte Thomas * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 5-10 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | - |
| C.J. Foster * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Nelson Nweke * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Deven Simms | 30 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Connor Kern | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tamas Bruce | 12 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
* = starter