Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Hartford Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | -1.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -4.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hartford Hawks -9 (61-70). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 35 | 10-22 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Emarius Logan * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +4.7 |
| Griffin Kinney * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -0.6 |
| Kelvin Robinson * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +6.3 |
| Patrick Good | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +3.2 |
| Jake Babic | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +11.0 |
| Isaac Johnson | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 17 | +2.0 |
| Matt O'Boyle | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +6.0 |
| Bennett Holley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Craig Hinton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.4 |
| Jake Wilson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.5 |
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Ross * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | -2 | -14.2 |
| Jason Dunne * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 19 | -12.7 |
| John Carroll * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -6.2 |
| J.R. Lynch * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Jack Hobbs * | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -5.2 |
| Andrew Ramirez | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +2.9 |
| George Blagojevic | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.1 |
| Nikola Colovic | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Max Twyman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
* = starter