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2017-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 88.3% 11.7% -
Bradley-Terry 87.5% 12.5% -
Margin 86.5% 13.5% -10.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 93.6% 6.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% -
Log Adjusted 96.5% 3.5% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -15 (80-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Williams-Goss 35 12-15 3-4 9-9 11 6 1 0 1 36 38 -
J. Mathews 33 5-11 3-8 3-4 3 0 1 0 1 16 8 -
J. Perkins 27 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 6 1 0 5 2 1 -
P. Karnowski 22 5-6 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 1 2 10 6 -
S. Melson 22 3-6 0-2 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 7 2 -
K. Tillie 20 6-7 0-0 0-0 8 3 2 0 2 12 16 -
J. Williams 18 1-2 0-1 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 6 6 -
Z. Collins 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 4 8 -
J. Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Alberts 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
R. Hachimura 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Triano 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ratinho 31 8-12 3-7 1-1 2 3 2 0 2 20 13 -
R. Raitanen 29 1-5 0-3 1-2 4 1 1 1 0 3 5 -
M. McCarthy 28 2-9 0-3 3-3 3 3 2 0 0 7 6 -
C. Minlend 25 2-7 1-5 2-6 2 2 0 0 0 7 4 -
N. Renfro 20 6-9 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 13 6 -
R. Boyce 17 5-10 1-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 13 6 -
C. Foster 16 2-6 0-2 2-3 1 1 2 0 1 6 3 -
F. Ferrari 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Lull 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Djordjevic 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Smith 4 2-2 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 6 -

* = starter