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2016-12-31

Model Predictions

Model San Diego Toreros Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 2.7% 97.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 6.3% 93.7% - โœ“
Margin 1.1% 98.9% +24.7 โœ“ (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 9.8% 90.2% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +12 (72-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Olin Carter * 40 3-11 1-4 4-5 3 2 1 0 1 11 5 -
Tyler Williams * 38 5-7 2-3 1-2 9 0 0 0 2 13 13 -
Juwan Gray * 35 4-8 2-4 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 11 7 -
Brett Bailey * 33 6-8 0-0 7-9 3 0 1 0 3 19 12 -
Cameron Neubauer * 29 0-5 0-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 1 -1 -
Frank Ryder 14 0-2 0-0 5-6 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Mark Carbone 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Rahon * 40 3-8 1-3 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 9 9 -
Emmett Naar * 36 2-10 0-2 5-5 1 6 0 0 1 9 5 -
Calvin Hermanson * 21 2-6 0-2 1-1 0 0 1 1 0 5 1 -
Jock Landale * 21 5-7 0-0 4-4 9 2 0 0 2 14 16 -
Evan Fitzner * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dane Pineau 33 4-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 1 9 10 -
Kyle Clark 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
Tanner Krebs 18 4-4 4-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 12 8 -
Jordan Ford 5 3-4 2-3 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 12 8 -
Jordan Hunter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter