๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2016-12-05

Model Predictions

Model UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 โœ“ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots +1 (90-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Green * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 5 28 31 -
Nick Dixon * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 5 2 0 3 22 35 -
Lew Stallworth * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 5 12 -
Michael Hoffman * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 1 4 12 -
Gage Loy * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 14 18 -
Dan Kimasa 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 4 11 -
Moe McDonald 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 7 -
Lesley Varner 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 6 10 -
Xavier McDaniel 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 2 7 -
Adonis Rwabigwi 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Mike Nwabuzor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wintering * 50 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 7 5 0 5 24 40 -
J. Johnson * 47 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 0 4 19 28 -
D. Tyson * 46 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 1 1 21 30 -
G. Taylor * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 16 21 -
P. Hartwich * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 2 7 -
J. Smoyer 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 0 8 17 -
J. Marshall 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 0 9 -

* = starter