Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -4 (57-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rahon * | 40 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| E. Naar * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Landale * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| C. Hermanson * | 29 | 6-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| E. Fitzner * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Clark | 30 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Pineau | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Krebs | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Gonzalez | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Smith * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| C. Cooke * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 11-13 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| R. Mikesell * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Miller * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Davis * | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| X. Williams | 29 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Davis | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Crosby | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter