Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball | 35 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| T.J. Leaf | 34 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Bryce Alford | 34 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 27 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Thomas Welsh | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Isaac Hamilton | 24 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Ike Anigbogu | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Gyorgy Goloman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allonzo Trier | 38 | 11-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Lauri Markkanen | 30 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Parker Jackson-Cartwright | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Kadeem Allen | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Dusan Ristic | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Rawle Alkins | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chance Comanche | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kobi Simmons | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Keanu Pinder | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter