Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Stewart | 35 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. McLaughlin | 34 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Metu | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| B. Boatwright | 31 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 14 | - |
| D. Melton | 28 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| S. Aaron | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| N. Rakocevic | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Mathews | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Karis | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen | 35 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Allonzo Trier | 34 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Kadeem Allen | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Parker Jackson-Cartwright | 30 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Chance Comanche | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Dusan Ristic | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Rawle Alkins | 17 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Kobi Simmons | 13 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
* = starter