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2017-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 54.7% 45.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (22.7 off)
Pythagorean 21.2% 78.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.2% 90.8% -
Log Adjusted 9.1% 90.9% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +28 (101-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. King * 30 7-10 3-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 18 13 -
D. White * 29 4-10 1-4 1-2 1 2 1 2 3 10 3 -
X. Johnson * 23 3-11 0-7 3-4 4 2 0 1 1 9 4 -
W. Gordon * 21 0-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Collier * 19 5-10 1-4 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 13 6 -
T. Miller-Stewart 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 2 0 1 5 9 -
J. Fortune 19 3-4 3-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
D. Brown 17 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
L. Siewert 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 3 4 -
T. Akyazili 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ennis * 31 7-11 3-6 3-4 6 3 0 1 3 20 16 -
P. Pritchard * 31 1-5 1-3 0-2 3 11 2 0 4 3 10 -
J. Bell * 26 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 4 1 0 6 15 -
T. Dorsey * 24 2-8 1-5 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
D. Brooks * 24 9-16 5-8 0-0 3 1 2 3 3 23 13 -
C. Benson 21 3-4 2-2 6-6 1 3 0 0 0 14 14 -
C. Boucher 18 6-7 2-2 4-5 7 0 0 2 1 18 19 -
K. Bigby-Williams 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 3 7 -
R. Sorkin 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
E. Gross 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Noebel 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter