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2017-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% -
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% -
Margin 49.4% 50.6% +0.1 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 69.8% 30.2% -
Efficiency 92.9% 7.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% -
Log Adjusted 90.0% 10.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Pritchard 33 2-5 0-2 1-2 2 3 2 0 1 5 6 -
D. Ennis 31 4-10 2-3 2-2 5 2 2 0 1 12 10 -
C. Boucher 30 3-9 1-4 1-4 3 0 0 1 1 8 2 -
T. Dorsey 29 6-13 4-8 3-4 5 2 2 0 4 19 11 -
D. Brooks 26 8-14 3-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 21 11 -
J. Bell 26 4-10 0-0 4-4 14 4 1 1 0 12 22 -
C. Benson 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
K. Bigby-Williams 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
R. Sorkin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Boatwright 34 3-15 1-9 8-8 6 2 0 3 0 15 11 -
E. Stewart 31 5-10 2-6 3-4 5 1 0 1 4 15 8 -
J. McLaughlin 30 2-7 1-2 1-2 7 4 1 0 5 6 6 -
D. Melton 29 2-5 1-2 4-4 3 2 2 1 4 9 8 -
C. Metu 25 6-8 0-0 4-5 4 3 0 0 2 16 13 -
S. Aaron 22 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
J. Mathews 15 1-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -3 -
C. Buggs 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
N. Rakocevic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter