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2016-12-30

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 69.7% 30.3% -
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% -
Margin 27.0% 73.0% +5.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 24.2% 75.8% -
Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% -
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +23 (84-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Metu 34 1-12 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
E. Stewart 32 3-7 2-4 2-2 6 0 0 0 3 10 6 -
J. McLaughlin 31 1-6 1-2 7-8 4 4 2 0 3 10 11 -
S. Aaron 27 1-7 0-1 2-3 2 2 0 0 3 4 -2 -
D. Melton 26 4-9 1-2 4-6 5 1 2 1 3 13 10 -
J. Mathews 25 4-11 2-7 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 11 -1 -
N. Rakocevic 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
C. Buggs 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
H. Henderson 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 5 6 -
K. Karis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ennis 34 8-15 2-4 2-2 6 3 3 1 2 20 16 -
P. Pritchard 29 0-5 0-2 2-2 5 7 1 0 2 2 8 -
T. Dorsey 27 3-8 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
J. Bell 25 4-9 0-1 1-2 6 4 0 0 0 9 10 -
D. Brooks 24 9-10 4-4 6-6 3 3 1 0 0 28 25 -
C. Boucher 24 5-9 0-3 1-4 6 1 0 5 0 11 14 -
C. Benson 19 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 0 2 -
K. Bigby-Williams 9 0-4 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 2 0 0 1 -
K. Smith 5 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
R. Sorkin 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
C. Noebel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter