Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | +15.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.4% | 88.6% | +11.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +23 (84-61). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chimezie Metu * | 34 | 1-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Elijah Stewart * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Shaqquan Aaron * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jonah Mathews | 25 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Nick Rakocevic | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Charles Buggs | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Harrison Henderson | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kurt Karis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ennis * | 34 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Payton Pritchard * | 29 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Dorsey * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Bell * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 24 | 9-10 | 4-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 25 | - |
| Chris Boucher | 24 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Casey Benson | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kavell Bigby-Williams | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keith Smith | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Roman Sorkin | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Charlie Noebel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter