Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.7% | 98.3% | +22.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +26 (81-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridge Shipley * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Donovan Fields * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Victor Joseph | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 25 | - |
| Jakub Niziol | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Trevor John | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alec Raven | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Moore * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jabari Bird * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 32 | - |
| Ivan Rabb * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Sam Singer * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Kingsley Okoroh * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | - |
| Roger Moute a Bidias | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Stephen Domingo | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Don Coleman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Cole Welle | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Koko Kurdoghlian | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Hamilton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Roman Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter